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  • MOASS Key Performance Indicators – What are they?

     Curunir updated 1 year, 2 months ago 4 Members · 5 Posts
    AMC
  • Ed_

    Member
    July 20, 2021 at 4:00 pm

    ‘Shorts Covering’ is the main fuel for the MOASS rocket, but after that starts, then how can Apes judge were we are relative to the end of the squeeze? Obviously, a dramatic price increase will be the first indication shorts are covering, but after that I feel like I’m flying blind based on the assumption there are tons of naked shorts, synthetics, and FTDs that need to be dealt with during the squeeze. Is Ortex the only source of data we have? Ortex has been inaccurate, it’s self-reported, and it’s delayed data. I hear YT Apes saying and read Redit Apes saying they will stay in until the shorts have covers…but what does that really mean?

    There must be a set of data points other than just Ortex to help gauge the relative progress of the squeeze. I’m not talking about dates or price floors. What data and indicators can we look at to understand where we are. I also hear and read Apes saying “sell on the way down,” but don’t we expect violent price action during the squeeze?

    I’m looking for input. I am not an expert and none of this is any kind of advice and should not be mistaken for wrinkle brained DD. Everything I know about squeezes, I’ve learned in the past two months.

    This is how I imagine the price curve to look after the MOASS is history. I think there are stages and each stage will have certain characteristics…it will not be smooth. Please let me know what you think.

    Questions:

    · Is Ortex data enough to gauge the momentum and velocity of the squeeze?

    · Will covering of naked shorts, synthetic buy-back, and FTD closure all be closed out as the same time Ortex SI numbers decline or will Ortex drop first, then these other things get dealt with?

    · When people say they will exit “when Shorts have covered,” what level of Ortex SI number do they have in mind…0%, 1%, 5% ?

    Data Sources (what data can we look at and what should we look for)? Such as…

    · Ortex

    · Share Price

    · Stonk-O-Tracker

    · Dark Pool volume

    · ETF volume on-loan

    · WMI fund performance

    · Fidelity daily Buy/Sell volume

  • JHolc9

    Member
    July 20, 2021 at 9:43 pm

    There is one other thing to watch for – selloffs of other stocks by HFs. They will eventually need to liquidate other assets as they cover shorts. You should see this in the large cap stocks as well as crypto. It should be very noticeable. I believe that the community will be evaluating real time, as it happens, and we will know approximately when shorts have covered.

  • Ed_

    Member
    July 20, 2021 at 10:14 pm

    Thank you. What are your thoughts on this question?

    · Will covering of naked shorts, synthetic buy-back, and FTD closure all be closed out as the same time Ortex SI numbers decline or will Ortex drop first, then these other things get dealt with?

  • Anonymous

    Deleted User
    July 21, 2021 at 1:47 pm

    Excellent post. Thank you.

  • Curunir

    Member
    July 22, 2021 at 2:01 am

    For Ortex and similar…I think any confirmed data and reporting based on the T+2 settlement will be too late to act on, but rather will just help understand what happened after the fact.

    Similarly, reports of bankruptcies or other business details will likely be held by the companies until it doesn’t matter any more; ie the MOASS is over (unless someone leaks it).

    <font face=”inherit”>I have a pattern I’m going to watch for based on a lot of trending comments across various discussions in the Ape community as well as crypto and other content providers and will apply it to that image above.</font>

    <font face=”inherit”>This is obviously a theory only and I may not know for weeks after the squeeze how close I was.</font>

    <font face=”inherit”>
    </font>

    <font face=”inherit”>I believe broad and deep sell offs of other stocks and crypto will give a real-time view of the efforts being put in to stay afloat as long as possible. There will </font>possibly also be real estate and banking pain too as this will impact more of the market, but this info will probably lag too much to be useful. The HFs will be buying back all real shorts and right in this area will probably be when the nakeds start to come to light. I believe this will be the first 2/3 of the Stage 4 in the pic above and expect it will take at least a couple days to play out. Violent spikes and dips but always trending up.

    <font face=”inherit” style=”font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit;”>When the sell-offs of other stocks starts to level out then they are running out of options (as in options of what to do…not stock options). Forced liquidations and rolling bankruptcies may be happening, </font><font face=”inherit” style=”font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit;”>DTCC action, etc COULD be coming to a head about this time. Real shorts are gone and everyone is having to face the reality that their nakeds are due. Not to mention all of us that are probably holding synthentic shares mixed in with our real shares. As this is the catastrophic failure point, I’m expecting to see a major, fast spike like is pictured at the end of the Zone-4 and tell us we’re in Orbit.</font>

    No idea how long Orbit may last but I’m expecting one or two full trading days may be needed to resolve the illegal shares. It may be faster. And it will probably be hard to tell at first when Orbit is done.

    Probably going to blow some of this but I won’t know til it’s all done.

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